Northern Rangersvs
Devonport U21
SCHEDULEDAustralia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 9/5/2026, 4:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Northern Rangers are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 7.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Devonport U21 are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Northern Rangers hold a 7.5-point power-rating edge (79.6 v 72.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely result in the Tasmania Northern Championship, favouring a draw with 6.9% confidence, a 85% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
20.3%
Model confidence
6.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 35 · GA 7 · avg 7.00/1.40
GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20