GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 7/13/2024, 4:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Northern Rangers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Northern Rangers are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 3.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Devonport U21 are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 4.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Northern Rangers hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (80.0 v 72.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.5% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Northern Rangers holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Northern Rangers

Probability

46.5%

Model confidence

46.5%

Northern Rangers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Northern RangersWWDWD

GF 19 · GA 6 · avg 3.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Devonport U21LLLLD

GF 7 · GA 23 · avg 1.40/4.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Northern RangersDevonport U21
100.0Attack100.0
59.3Defence59.3
94.4Form77.8
80.0Power72.9
2.81xG2.27
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