GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 5/24/2025, 4:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Northern Rangers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

Northern Rangers are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Burnie Utd. are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 5.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Northern Rangers hold a 47.1-point power-rating edge (80.0 v 32.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.3% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Northern Rangers holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 92% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Northern Rangers

Probability

74.3%

Model confidence

74.3%

Northern Rangers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Northern RangersWDDWL

GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Burnie Utd.LLLLL

GF 8 · GA 25 · avg 1.60/5.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Northern RangersBurnie Utd.
100.0Attack80.7
59.3Defence0.0
94.4Form29.8
80.0Power32.9
4.50xG1.71
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