GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 7/6/2024, 4:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Northern Rangers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

Northern Rangers are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 4.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Burnie Utd. are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Northern Rangers hold a 47.1-point power-rating edge (80.0 v 32.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.3% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Northern Rangers holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 92% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Northern Rangers

Probability

74.3%

Model confidence

74.3%

Northern Rangers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Northern RangersWDWDW

GF 20 · GA 6 · avg 4.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Burnie Utd.DLWLL

GF 7 · GA 18 · avg 1.40/3.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Northern RangersBurnie Utd.
100.0Attack80.7
59.3Defence0.0
94.4Form29.8
80.0Power32.9
4.50xG1.71
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