Northern Ireland Wvs
Portugal W
COMPLETEDWorld · World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe · 10/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portugal W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Northern Ireland W 0-4 Portugal W
Original prediction
Portugal W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9.58 | 9.4% | 23.1% | 13.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.97 | 18.1% | 25.0% | 6.9 pts |
| Away | 1.24 | 72.5% | 51.9% | -20.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.24 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-20.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Portugal W
Probability
51.9%
Model confidence
51.9%
Portugal W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80