Northern Ireland U21vs
Greece U21
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · 10/6/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Greece U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Northern Ireland U21 0-1 Greece U21
Original prediction
Greece U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 18:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 10.06 | 9.1% | 12.9% | 3.8 pts |
| Draw | 5.46 | 16.7% | 18.2% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 1.23 | 74.2% | 68.9% | -5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.23 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Greece U21
Probability
68.9%
Model confidence
68.9%
Greece U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40