Northern Ireland U21vs
Georgia U21
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · 10/1/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Northern Ireland U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Northern Ireland U21 1-1 Georgia U21
Original prediction
Northern Ireland U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.06 | 44.6% | 46.2% | 1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 28.3% | 24.8% | -3.4 pts |
| Away | 3.38 | 27.2% | 29.0% | 1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.25 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Northern Ireland U21
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
Northern Ireland U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80