GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One Cup · 5/26/2024, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Northern Colorado · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Northern Colorado are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Charlotte Independence are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Northern Colorado hold a 22.1-point power-rating edge (76.3 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.0% in the USL League One Cup, while Northern Colorado holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Northern Colorado

Probability

62.0%

Model confidence

62.0%

Northern Colorado has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Northern ColoradoWDDLL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Charlotte IndependenceLLWDD

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Northern ColoradoCharlotte Independence
83.3Attack53.3
63.3Defence46.7
80.0Form53.3
76.3Power54.1
2.81xG0.96
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