NorthEast Unitedvs
Kerala Blasters
COMPLETEDIndia · Indian Super League · 10/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
NorthEast United · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
NorthEast United 4-1 Kerala Blasters
Original prediction
NorthEast United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 12:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.43 | 37.5% | 36.9% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.7% | 28.4% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.63 | 34.8% | 34.7% | -0.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.43 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
NorthEast United
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
NorthEast United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60