Victoria NPL 2Victoria NPL 2
Friday, 3 July 2026Last updated 15:02
Northcote City

Northcote City

Home
DL
23
Full time
Melbourne Srbija

Melbourne Srbija

Away
W
John Cain Memorial Park
GoalVio prediction
43% confidence
Northcote City(31%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction missed— Result: Melbourne Srbija
Win probability
Northcote City
31%
Draw
26%
Melbourne Srbija
43%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Northcote City
86
Melbourne Srbija
94
Defence
Northcote City
6
Melbourne Srbija
27
Momentum
Northcote City
17
Melbourne Srbija
100
Danger (xG)
Northcote City
2.25
Melbourne Srbija
2.70
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Northcote City)
2.25
avg per match
xG for (Melbourne Srbija)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Northcote City)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Melbourne Srbija)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Northcote CityNorthcote City
DLD
Melbourne SrbijaMelbourne Srbija
WW

Probability breakdown

43% confidence
Northcote City31%
Draw26%
Melbourne Srbija43%

Melbourne Srbija leads with 43% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Northcote City head into this in Victoria NPL 2 fixture at John Cain Memorial Park in mixed form (DL), while Melbourne Srbija arrive in mixed form (W). Northcote City have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 100% for Melbourne Srbija over 1 games.

Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — Northcote City (86/100) and Melbourne Srbija (94/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.

Northcote City have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 3 home games. They average 2.0 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per home match. Melbourne Srbija have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 3.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

Melbourne Srbija have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 5.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Northcote City to win with 43% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Northcote City 3105%, Draw 2645%, Melbourne Srbija 4250%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Northcote City 0Draws 01 Melbourne Srbija
Avg goals: 5.0BTTS in 1/1
3 Jul 2026
Northcote City
L23
Melbourne Srbija

Recent form

Northcote City

Northcote City

D
vs Manningham United Blues
17 Jul 2026
33
L
vs Melbourne Srbija
3 Jul 2026
23
D
vs Bulleen Lions
15 May 2026
11
Melbourne Srbija

Melbourne Srbija

W
@ Northcote City
3 Jul 2026
32
W
vs Brunswick City
16 May 2026
21

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Northcote City vs Melbourne Srbija?

GoalVio's model predicts Northcote City to win with 43% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Northcote City vs Melbourne Srbija?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Northcote City vs Melbourne Srbija?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Northcote City vs Melbourne Srbija?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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