GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 12/2/2025, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wycombe · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Northampton are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Wycombe are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Wycombe hold a 46.9-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 76.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.9% in the EFL Trophy, while Wycombe holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Wycombe

Probability

61.9%

Model confidence

61.9%

Wycombe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NorthamptonWLWWL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
WycombeDWDWW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
NorthamptonWycombe
55.6Attack58.3
11.1Defence75.0
11.1Form87.5
29.5Power76.3
1.06xG2.33
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