Northamptonvs
Walsall
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 1/14/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Northampton · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Northampton are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Walsall are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Walsall hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 32.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the EFL Trophy, while Northampton holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Northampton
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Northampton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00