Northamptonvs
Shrewsbury
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 11/11/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Northampton · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Northampton are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Shrewsbury are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Shrewsbury hold a 14.3-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 43.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.1% in the EFL Trophy, while Northampton holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Northampton
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
37.1%
Northampton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00