Northamptonvs
Oxford United
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 9/5/2023, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oxford United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Northampton are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Oxford United are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Oxford United hold a 33.0-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 62.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.4% in the EFL Trophy, while Oxford United holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Oxford United
Probability
54.4%
Model confidence
54.4%
Oxford United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00