Northamptonvs
Burton Albion
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 11/12/2024, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Burton Albion · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Northampton are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Burton Albion are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Burton Albion hold a 30.5-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 59.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.3% in the EFL Trophy, while Burton Albion holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Burton Albion
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
Burton Albion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20