GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 5/24/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Jose Earthquakes II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

North Texas are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while San Jose Earthquakes II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and San Jose Earthquakes II hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 56.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.9% in the MLS Next Pro, while San Jose Earthquakes II holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Jose Earthquakes II

Probability

44.9%

Model confidence

10.9%

San Jose Earthquakes II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

North TexasWWLLD

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
San Jose Earthquakes IILDWWL

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
North TexasSan Jose Earthquakes II
55.0Attack65.0
50.0Defence58.3
45.0Form48.3
50.1Power56.0
1.49xG1.85
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