GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 7/26/2026, 12:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

North Texas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

North Texas are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Los Angeles II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Los Angeles II hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 52.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.1% in the MLS Next Pro, while North Texas holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

North Texas

Probability

44.4%

Model confidence

11.1%

North Texas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

North TexasWLWDL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Los Angeles IILDDWW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
North TexasLos Angeles II
55.0Attack52.4
50.0Defence49.2
45.0Form50.8
50.1Power52.7
1.82xG1.48
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