North Texasvs
Houston Dynamo FC II
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 9/14/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Houston Dynamo FC II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
North Texas 0-0 Houston Dynamo FC II
Original prediction
Houston Dynamo FC II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.49 | 36.2% | 30.8% | -5.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 24.9% | 25.6% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.32 | 38.9% | 43.7% | 4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.62 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Houston Dynamo FC II
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
Houston Dynamo FC II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80