North Texasvs
Houston Dynamo FC II
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 9/10/2026, 12:45:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Houston Dynamo FC II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
North Texas 2-3 Houston Dynamo FC II
Original prediction
Houston Dynamo FC II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.30 | 39.2% | 29.9% | -9.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.5% | 22.9% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.56 | 35.3% | 47.2% | 11.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Houston Dynamo FC II
Probability
47.2%
Model confidence
47.2%
Houston Dynamo FC II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80