GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 8/20/2026, 12:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Austin II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

North Texas are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Austin II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Austin II hold a 21.8-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 71.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.9% in the MLS Next Pro, while Austin II holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Austin II

Probability

60.3%

Model confidence

10.9%

Austin II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

North TexasWLDWL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Austin IIWDDWL

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
North TexasAustin II
55.0Attack68.3
50.0Defence71.4
45.0Form74.6
50.1Power71.9
0.98xG2.05
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