GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL 2 · 4/18/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Melbourne Victory II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

North Sunshine Eagles are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Melbourne Victory II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Melbourne Victory II hold a 20.8-point power-rating edge (40.2 v 61.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.9% in the Victoria NPL 2, while Melbourne Victory II holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Melbourne Victory II

Probability

58.9%

Model confidence

58.9%

Melbourne Victory II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

North Sunshine EaglesLWLLL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Melbourne Victory IIWDWLD

GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
North Sunshine EaglesMelbourne Victory II
42.0Attack75.4
44.9Defence49.3
29.0Form58.0
40.2Power61.0
1.32xG2.49
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