North Macedonia U21vs
Montenegro U21
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · 10/1/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Montenegro U21 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
North Macedonia U21 1-1 Montenegro U21
Original prediction
Montenegro U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.74 | 33.4% | 30.1% | -3.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 27.8% | 26.5% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.35 | 38.8% | 43.4% | 4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.28 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Montenegro U21
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
43.4%
Montenegro U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 11 · avg 0.20/2.20
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80