GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 2/25/2023, 6:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Port Melbourne · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3

Highconfidence

North Geelong Warriors are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Port Melbourne are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 2 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Port Melbourne hold a 37.3-point power-rating edge (20.8 v 58.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 83.1% in the Victoria NPL, while Port Melbourne holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Port Melbourne

Probability

83.1%

Model confidence

83.1%

Port Melbourne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

North Geelong WarriorsW

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 3.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Port MelbourneD

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
North Geelong WarriorsPort Melbourne
23.1Attack65.4
9.0Defence55.6
17.9Form55.6
20.8Power58.1
0.74xG3.45
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