GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL 2 · 2/28/2026, 6:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Melbourne Srbija · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

North Geelong Warriors are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Melbourne Srbija are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Melbourne Srbija hold a 12.9-point power-rating edge (40.5 v 53.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.4% in the Victoria NPL 2, while Melbourne Srbija holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Melbourne Srbija

Probability

47.4%

Model confidence

47.4%

Melbourne Srbija has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

North Geelong WarriorsWWDDL

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Melbourne SrbijaLLLWL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
North Geelong WarriorsMelbourne Srbija
45.8Attack38.9
29.2Defence65.3
38.9Form50.0
40.5Power53.4
1.01xG1.60
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