North Geelong Warriorsvs
Melbourne Knights
COMPLETEDAustralia · Victoria NPL 2 · 2/14/2026, 4:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Melbourne Knights · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
North Geelong Warriors are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Melbourne Knights are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Melbourne Knights hold a 28.8-point power-rating edge (40.5 v 69.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.0% in the Victoria NPL 2, while Melbourne Knights holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Melbourne Knights
Probability
75.0%
Model confidence
75.0%
Melbourne Knights has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 3 · GA 20 · avg 0.60/4.00