Australia · Victoria NPL 2 · 3/14/2026, 6:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
North Geelong Warriors · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
North Geelong Warriors are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Manningham United Blues are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Manningham United Blues hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (40.5 v 42.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.5% in the Victoria NPL 2, while North Geelong Warriors holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
North Geelong Warriors
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
North Geelong Warriors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 14 · GA 11 · avg 2.80/2.20