North Districtvs
Kowloon City
COMPLETEDHong-Kong · Senior Shield · 10/25/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
North District · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
North District 3-3 Kowloon City
Original prediction
North District
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 03:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.37 | 65.8% | 41.6% | -24.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.92 | 18.3% | 24.3% | 6.0 pts |
| Away | 5.64 | 15.9% | 34.1% | 18.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.92 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-24.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
North District
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
North District has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 2 · avg 3.20/0.40
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00