North Districtvs
Kitchee
COMPLETEDHong-Kong · Premier League · 8/29/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
North District · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
North District 0-0 Kitchee
Original prediction
North District
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.22 | 28.1% | 38.2% | 10.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 24.9% | 25.7% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 1.92 | 47.1% | 36.1% | -10.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.63 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
North District
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
North District has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20