GGOALVIO

Hong-Kong · Premier League · 8/29/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kitchee · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3

Mediumconfidence

North District are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Kitchee are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Kitchee hold a 42.5-point power-rating edge (36.0 v 78.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.6% in the Premier League, while Kitchee holds the strongest overall chance at 88% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kitchee

Probability

87.6%

Model confidence

11.6%

Kitchee has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

North DistrictLLDLD

GF 10 · GA 15 · avg 2.00/3.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
KitcheeWDLDL

GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
North DistrictKitchee
45.0Attack100.0
28.3Defence75.0
30.0Form75.0
36.0Power78.5
0.77xG3.98
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