North Districtvs
BC Rangers
COMPLETEDHong-Kong · Premier League · 9/13/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
North District · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (9%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
North District 5-0 BC Rangers
Original prediction
North District
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.43 | 63.3% | 59.8% | -3.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.52 | 20.1% | 20.7% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 5.46 | 16.6% | 19.4% | 2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.43 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–19%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
North District
Probability
59.8%
Model confidence
59.8%
North District has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40