North Carolinavs
Tormenta
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 3/17/2023, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
North Carolina · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
North Carolina are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Tormenta are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 3 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and North Carolina hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (63.7 v 48.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.7% in the USL League One, while North Carolina holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
North Carolina
Probability
59.7%
Model confidence
59.7%
North Carolina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.50/2.00