North Carolinavs
Lexington
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 4/1/2023, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
North Carolina · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
North Carolina are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Lexington are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 3 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and North Carolina hold a 20.9-point power-rating edge (63.7 v 42.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.1% in the USL League One, while North Carolina holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
North Carolina
Probability
66.1%
Model confidence
66.1%
North Carolina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/2.00