North Carolinavs
Charlotte Independence
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 4/8/2023, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
North Carolina · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
North Carolina are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WLW), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Charlotte Independence are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WWD), averaging 1.67 scored and 0.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Charlotte Independence hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (63.7 v 65.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the USL League One, while North Carolina holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
North Carolina
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
North Carolina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 1.33/1.00
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.67/0.67