GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 4/8/2023, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

North Carolina · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

North Carolina are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WLW), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Charlotte Independence are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WWD), averaging 1.67 scored and 0.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Charlotte Independence hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (63.7 v 65.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the USL League One, while North Carolina holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

North Carolina

Probability

39.5%

Model confidence

39.5%

North Carolina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

North CarolinaWLW

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 1.33/1.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Charlotte IndependenceWWD

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.67/0.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
North CarolinaCharlotte Independence
60.8Attack75.4
59.8Defence52.6
65.7Form68.4
63.7Power65.9
1.85xG1.68
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