GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 4/15/2023, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Washington Spirit W · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

North Carolina Courage W are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Washington Spirit W are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Washington Spirit W hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (55.8 v 62.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.7% in the NWSL Women, while Washington Spirit W holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Washington Spirit W

Probability

35.7%

Model confidence

35.7%

Washington Spirit W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

North Carolina Courage WLW

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Washington Spirit WDW

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.50/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
North Carolina Courage WWashington Spirit W
59.3Attack50.9
51.9Defence70.2
55.6Form63.2
55.8Power62.9
1.11xG1.37
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