GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 7/4/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

North Carolina Courage W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

North Carolina Courage W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Seattle Reign FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and North Carolina Courage W hold a 4.0-point power-rating edge (55.8 v 51.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.5% in the NWSL Women, while North Carolina Courage W holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

North Carolina Courage W

Probability

38.5%

Model confidence

38.5%

North Carolina Courage W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

North Carolina Courage WWWWLL

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Seattle Reign FCLWLLD

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
North Carolina Courage WSeattle Reign FC
59.3Attack42.6
51.9Defence57.4
55.6Form50.0
55.8Power51.8
1.64xG1.11
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