North Carolina Courage Wvs
San Diego Wave W
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 10/17/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
North Carolina Courage W · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
North Carolina Courage W 1-2 San Diego Wave W
Original prediction
North Carolina Courage W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.38 | 37.6% | 35.9% | -1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.1% | 28.7% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 2.47 | 36.3% | 35.4% | -1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
North Carolina Courage W
Probability
35.9%
Model confidence
35.9%
North Carolina Courage W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60