GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 3/14/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

North Carolina Courage W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

North Carolina Courage W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Racing Louisville W are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and North Carolina Courage W hold a 16.6-point power-rating edge (55.8 v 39.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.7% in the NWSL Women, while North Carolina Courage W holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

North Carolina Courage W

Probability

67.0%

Model confidence

9.7%

North Carolina Courage W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

North Carolina Courage WWWDLL

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Racing Louisville WDWDDW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
North Carolina Courage WRacing Louisville W
59.3Attack44.4
51.9Defence35.2
55.6Form31.5
55.8Power39.2
2.60xG1.11
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