North Carolina Courage Wvs
NJ/NY Gotham FC W
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 9/19/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
NJ/NY Gotham FC W · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
North Carolina Courage W 1-2 NJ/NY Gotham FC W
Original prediction
NJ/NY Gotham FC W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.54 | 35.2% | 34.5% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 26.3% | 29.7% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 2.32 | 38.5% | 35.8% | -2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.32 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
NJ/NY Gotham FC W
Probability
35.8%
Model confidence
35.8%
NJ/NY Gotham FC W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20