GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 5/2/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

North Carolina Courage W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

North Carolina Courage W are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Kansas City W are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and North Carolina Courage W hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (55.8 v 51.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.6% in the NWSL Women, while North Carolina Courage W holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

North Carolina Courage W

Probability

46.7%

Model confidence

11.6%

North Carolina Courage W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

North Carolina Courage WDWDLD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Kansas City WLWLLL

GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
North Carolina Courage WKansas City W
59.3Attack51.7
51.9Defence53.3
55.6Form50.0
55.8Power51.9
1.80xG1.34
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