North Carolina Courage Wvs
Chicago Red Stars W
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 5/16/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
North Carolina Courage W · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
North Carolina Courage W are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Chicago Red Stars W are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and North Carolina Courage W hold a 25.9-point power-rating edge (55.8 v 29.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.3% in the NWSL Women, while North Carolina Courage W holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
North Carolina Courage W
Probability
75.8%
Model confidence
14.3%
North Carolina Courage W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60