GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 8/22/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

North Carolina Courage W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

North Carolina Courage W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Boston Legacy W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and north Carolina Courage W hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (55.8 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the NWSL Women, favouring North Carolina Courage W with 12.3% confidence, a 50% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

North Carolina Courage W

Probability

56.1%

Model confidence

12.3%

North Carolina Courage W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

North Carolina Courage WWWWLL

GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Boston Legacy WLDWLW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
North Carolina Courage WBoston Legacy W
59.3Attack35.2
51.9Defence55.6
55.6Form37.0
55.8Power45.1
1.75xG0.89
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