North Carolina Courage Wvs
Bay FC W
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 3/28/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
North Carolina Courage W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
North Carolina Courage W are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Bay FC W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and North Carolina Courage W hold a 13.7-point power-rating edge (55.8 v 42.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.7% in the NWSL Women, while North Carolina Courage W holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
North Carolina Courage W
Probability
59.3%
Model confidence
11.7%
North Carolina Courage W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00