Norrby IFvs
Varbergs BoIS FC
COMPLETEDSweden · Superettan · 9/14/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Varbergs BoIS FC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Norrby IF 1-2 Varbergs BoIS FC
Original prediction
Varbergs BoIS FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.83 | 32.7% | 27.8% | -4.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 26.7% | 24.4% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 2.28 | 40.6% | 47.9% | 7.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Varbergs BoIS FC
Probability
47.9%
Model confidence
47.9%
Varbergs BoIS FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20