SuperettanSuperettan
Sunday, 26 July 2026Last updated 10:15
Norrby IF

Norrby IF

Home
LWD
22
Full time
Ostersunds FK

Ostersunds FK

Away
WL
GoalVio prediction
40% confidence
Ostersunds FK(32%)
Most likely exact score0-1
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
Norrby IF
40%
Draw
28%
Ostersunds FK
32%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Norrby IF
14
Ostersunds FK
34
Defence
Norrby IF
77
Ostersunds FK
66
Momentum
Norrby IF
44
Ostersunds FK
50
Danger (xG)
Norrby IF
0.30
Ostersunds FK
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Norrby IF)
0.30
avg per match
xG for (Ostersunds FK)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Norrby IF)
0.60
avg per match
xG against (Ostersunds FK)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Norrby IFNorrby IF
WDLDD
Ostersunds FKOstersunds FK
WLWW

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
Norrby IF40%
Draw28%
Ostersunds FK32%

Norrby IF leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Norrby IF head into this in Superettan fixture in mixed form (LWD), while Ostersunds FK arrive in mixed form (WL). Norrby IF have a 33% win rate across their last 3 matches, compared to 50% for Ostersunds FK over 2 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Norrby IF (77/100) and Ostersunds FK (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Norrby IF have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per home match. Ostersunds FK have been excellent on the road, winning all 2 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 3.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Norrby IF and Ostersunds FK in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Ostersunds FK to win with 40% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: Norrby IF 3999%, Draw 2758%, Ostersunds FK 3243%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Norrby IF

Norrby IF

W
@ IFK Norrkoping
28 Jun 2026
10
D
vs United Nordic
21 Jun 2026
00
L
@ Varbergs BoIS FC
10 Jun 2026
02
D
@ IFK Varnamo
17 May 2026
22
D
@ Landskrona BoIS
12 May 2026
11
Ostersunds FK

Ostersunds FK

W
@ GIF Sundsvall
27 Jun 2026
20
L
vs IFK Norrkoping
21 Jun 2026
02
W
vs Sandviken
17 May 2026
21
W
@ IK brage
13 May 2026
42

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Norrby IF vs Ostersunds FK?

GoalVio's model predicts Ostersunds FK to win with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Norrby IF vs Ostersunds FK?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Norrby IF vs Ostersunds FK?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Norrby IF vs Ostersunds FK?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more