Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Norrby IF · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (9%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Norrby IF 2-0 Osters IF
Original prediction
Norrby IF
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 46.1% | 36.6% | -9.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 24.7% | 28.8% | 4.0 pts |
| Away | 3.15 | 29.2% | 34.6% | 5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–19%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Norrby IF
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
Norrby IF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Norrby IFDLLLL
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Osters IFLLWLL
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Norrby IFOsters IF
37.3Attack50.7
53.3Defence49.3
32.0Form48.0
43.3Power50.5
1.19xG1.33