Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Norrby IF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Norrby IF are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Oddevold are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Oddevold hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (49.2 v 52.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.6% in the Superettan, while Norrby IF holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Norrby IF
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
13.6%
Norrby IF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40