Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Norrby IF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Norrby IF are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while IK brage are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Norrby IF hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (49.2 v 45.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.3% in the Superettan, while Norrby IF holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Norrby IF
Probability
44.3%
Model confidence
44.3%
Norrby IF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60