Copa PaulistaCopa Paulista
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 10:07
Noroeste

Noroeste

Home
D
22
Full time
União São João

União São João

Away
Estadio Alfredo de Castilho
GoalVio prediction
46% confidence
União São João(27%)
Most likely exact score0-1
Win probability
Noroeste
46%
Draw
27%
União São João
27%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Noroeste)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Noroeste)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
NoroesteNoroeste
D

Probability breakdown

46% confidence
Noroeste46%
Draw27%
União São João27%

Noroeste leads with 46% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Noroeste head into this in Copa Paulista fixture at Estadio Alfredo de Castilho in mixed form (D), while União São João arrive in unknown form.

Noroeste have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per home match. União São João have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Noroeste and União São João in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects União São João to win with 46% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: Noroeste 4634%, Draw 2710%, União São João 2656%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Noroeste

Noroeste

D
vs Velo Clube
16 May 2026
00

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Noroeste vs União São João?

GoalVio's model predicts União São João to win with 46% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Noroeste vs União São João?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Noroeste vs União São João?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Noroeste vs União São João?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more