Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Noroeste · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Noroeste 2-0 Comercial, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Noroeste 4-3 Comercial
Original prediction
Noroeste
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Projected Score
Noroeste 2–0 Comercial
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Noroeste
Probability
65.6%
Model confidence
65.6%
Noroeste has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NoroesteDWLDW
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
ComercialLDLDW
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
NoroesteComercial
52.8Attack16.7
80.6Defence46.7
66.7Form20.0
67.3Power31.2
2.03xG0.26