Noroestevs
CFRJ / Maricá
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 5/2/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Noroeste · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Noroeste are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while CFRJ / Maricá are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Noroeste hold a 9.0-point power-rating edge (51.9 v 42.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 21.1% in the Serie D, while Noroeste holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Noroeste
Probability
52.5%
Model confidence
21.1%
Noroeste has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00