Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 10:10
Normannia Gmünd

Normannia Gmünd

Home
D
03
Full time
Stuttgart II

Stuttgart II

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Draw35%
Normannia Gmünd34%
Stuttgart II31%
Win probability
Normannia Gmünd
34%
Draw
35%
Stuttgart II
31%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Normannia Gmünd
9
Stuttgart II
94
Defence
Normannia Gmünd
91
Stuttgart II
1
Momentum
Normannia Gmünd
33
Stuttgart II
0
Danger (xG)
Normannia Gmünd
0.00
Stuttgart II
2.70
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 1.43 xG for Normannia Gmünd and 1.33 xG for Stuttgart II — meaningful and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.10), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.The attack-versus-defence matchup supports both teams scoring. Normannia Gmünd's Attack Score (9) exceeds Stuttgart II's Defensive Stability (1), and Stuttgart II's attack (94) similarly tests Normannia Gmünd's defence (91). Neither backline is dominant enough to prevent the other side from scoring.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 2.75 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.

xG for (Normannia Gmünd)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Stuttgart II)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Normannia Gmünd)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Stuttgart II)
3.60
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Normannia GmündNormannia Gmünd
D
Stuttgart IIStuttgart II
L

Probability breakdown

36% confidence
Normannia Gmünd34%
Draw35%
Stuttgart II31%

Draw leads with 35% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Normannia Gmünd vs Stuttgart II: Model Points to a Closely-Fought Draw

Normannia Gmünd take on Stuttgart II in Friendlies Clubs.

Why GoalVio backs this

Neither side carries a decisive edge in the metrics that most reliably separate teams at this level — xG creation, defensive solidity, and recent form are all closely matched. When the underlying football inputs are this evenly distributed, a draw is the most defensible projection.

Biggest risk: The draw projection is inherently fragile — a single moment of quality from either side could produce a winner. The model sees no clear favourite, which means the actual result is highly sensitive to in-game events and individual quality.

Risk factors

  • Normannia Gmünd have been conceding 1.91 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Normannia Gmünd

Normannia Gmünd

D
vs Backnang
16 May 2026
00
Stuttgart II

Stuttgart II

L
vs VfL Osnabrück
16 May 2026
34

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Normannia Gmünd vs Stuttgart II?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 36% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Normannia Gmünd vs Stuttgart II?

A predicted scoreline has not yet been generated for this fixture.

Will both teams score in Normannia Gmünd vs Stuttgart II?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Normannia Gmünd vs Stuttgart II?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more